Asking A Few Simple Questions to Regain Perspectives - Brad Bowyer's Facebook Post

01/07/2021

I am glad the Dr Tan Cheng Bock has called for an open discussion on all the issues surrounding Covid especially those raised by several groups of doctors that so far have been met with contempt, dismissal, intimidation and as I see now, even police investigation being started predicated on posts that apparently were fine months ago which suggests fishing for an excuse to attack and besmirch them personally, none of which help anybody.

I hope you all can take a few minutes to read this article of mine thoroughly because not only is debate being curtailed it also feels to me like we have lost all sense of proportionality and rationality when it comes to Covid and our response to it and it is time we regain that perspective. And just to clarify once again I am not an anti-vaccination proponent, but I must take a pause with the current drive for using these still experimental mRNA vaccines justified by an "emergency" where the makers have all been given immunity from responsibility of any negative effects until I know more.

So, asking a few simple questions may help with regaining that perspective...

WHAT ARE YOUR CHANCES OF DYING FROM COVID IN SINGAPORE RELATIVE TO EVERYTHING ELSE?

Last year 6,090 people died of cancer, 4,439 died of pneumonia and 4,031 died of ischaemic heart disease as our leading 3 killers and that is likely to continue this year. On the lower end we had 85 killed in traffic accidents in 2020 and we have already had 48 killed this year (with 2,517 injured). I also believe our total focus on Covid played a big role in dengue getting out of control with 35,315 infections and 32 people dying in 2020 (incidentally almost double the death rate of Covid even on the lower case count number), and although 2021 is looking better we already have had 3,148 cases (almost as many as Covid) with an undisclosed number of deaths.

We also had the worrying trend of growing suicides amongst those distressed or displaced by the Covid regulations, with the highest rate amongst those in their 20's. We still do not have the final numbers yet, but total suicides were already 400 in 2019. It would be interesting to know how many excess deaths have been caused by the Covid policies, whether by suicide, dengue or other means? If it was more than 30 last year and 3 so far this year, then we really should be questioning the direction we are going just for that fact alone.

Oh, and we even typically have 2 people a year being killed by lightening, sometimes more. Of course, lightning can kill anyone, Covid seems very focused on the elderly, infirm, very unhealthy and immune compromised, so in Singapore at least it seems more broadly dangerous than the virus.

Attached to this article is a diagram that MOH published on its FB page on 23rd June. It clearly shows that 90.1% of those who are unvaccinated and are unfortunate enough to catch Covid in Singapore are either Asymptomatic or have a mild case akin to the flu.

If we then look at MOH data for the whole outbreak from early 2020 to 8th June this year we could see that we had 62,219 recorded cases of which only 3,726 were listed as ever becoming severe and needing hospitalisation and of those 3,505 (94%) had already recovered and only 2 were in the ICU. We can calculate from that data and the known deaths (34) that the mortality rate to that date was 0.00055% and slightly lower today with the extra few recent cases. (Actually, even lower if you account for the previously unknown 98,289 migrant workers that were found infected in serology tests as reported last December but apparently were never added to our total case count)

So, we have a virus that is asymptomatic or mild in at least 90% of the population, 94% of those who have had it worse have recovered and less than 0.00055% have succumbed, victims by the way who were almost all elderly and whom all had multiple other comorbidities. In fact, the 3 victims this year were already hospitalised for a life-threatening condition when they caught or were found to have the virus.

So, is the risk of dying from Covid in Singapore so great as to seem like it's worthy of the total focus of all our government health related policies now and more importantly worth the risk of emergency use vaccines?

HOW EFFECTIVE HAVE THE VACCINES BEEN AT STOPPING INFECTION & TRANSMISSION

We know from the Changi outbreak where half those infected were vaccinated, The Mindsville outbreak where 91% of the staff and patients were vaccinated and the Bukit Merah outbreak where almost 50% of those infected were fully or partially vaccinated those vaccines seem to have little impact on whether you catch or transmit the virus anyway.

Indeed, in some countries like the UK the reverse is true and they are seeing more cases amongst the vaccinated than the unvaccinated and a recent govt document suggested they are expecting 2/3 of future hospitalisation to be amongst the vaccinated. So, is the risk of emergency use drugs worth it for a now questionable ability to limit transmission as evidenced globally and not just in Singapore?

DOES VACCINATION REDUCE THE SEVERITY OF COVID?

Of course, the message has been changed a little and now we are being told vaccination is now more about not getting a severe case than stopping the spread, as the MOH graph I have shared tries to show.

But in the case of the Bukit Merah outbreak of the then reported 36 vaccinated adults who were infected 27 were symptomatic, i.e 75% and for the 32 unvaccinated adults in the cluster only 22 were symptomatic, i.e 68% so actually less than amongst the vaccinated, a worrying statistic when so much faith is being placed on vaccines alone and their main benefit now supposed to be symptomatic infection reduction. (And as I asked this week, did this inconvenient data play a role in the changing of case reporting?)

AND WHAT ABOUT THE REPORTED SIDE EFFECTS?

When we get to the issue of side effects and all those who are being harmed by the vaccines, we know from a recent parliamentary session that 30 people have already been paid out under the vaccine injury compensation plan (VIFAP).

As a reminder to qualify for the VIFAP, individuals must be a Singapore Citizen, Permanent Resident or long-term pass holder who has received the COVID-19 vaccination in Singapore and experienced a serious side effect that is potentially life-threatening or fatal and has required inpatient hospitalisation or has caused persistent incapacity or disability. 

Given those 30 people (with 29 more cases still in review) represent 10 times the number who have succumbed this year is that risk worth it now the potential transmission and seriousness limiting factor of the vaccine for the 99% plus survival rate virus is in question?

IS IT REALLY SAFE FOR CHILDREN TO TAKE mRNA VACCINES?

Although it has walked back its announcement somewhat, the World Health Organisation 0n 21st June said there was too little data to know whether it was safe to vaccinate those under age 18. 

We also had the CDC in America releasing data that showed 10 times the expected cases of myocarditis after 1 dose and more than 30 times the expected number of cases after 2 doses. 

Add to that all the other potential risk factors and the fact that we know children rarely need intense medical treatment, and we must ask are we in a dire enough emergency to be in such a rush to risk their health on emergency use only drugs? Why can't we look at other policies?

ARE THERE ALTERNATIVE SOLUTIONS TO BE EXPLORED?

In India where there is a truly clear and visible emergency going on they are already moving on from just vaccines to preventives and treatments. Despite negative mainstream press on Ivermectin those Indian States using it continue to diverge in cases and deaths from those states that do not. Cases in Delhi, where Ivermectin was begun on April 20, had dropped from 28,395 to just 2,260 by May 22. That represents a 92% drop. Likewise, cases in Uttar Pradesh dropped from 37,944 on April 24 to 5,964 by May 22 - a decline of 84% and Goa, that has adopted it as a pre-emptive policy with mass Ivermectin being distributed for the entire adult population over age 18 at a dose of 12 mg daily for five days, their cases are down from 4,195 to 1,647. 

Mexico City also had similar results when it started providing Ivermectin based home remedy kits to its people and there are also numerous studies on Ivermectin's effectiveness alone and in combination with other modalities. 

Several other regimes and medicines have also been suggested and tested, like the much-maligned hydroxychloroquine amongst others, who are also seeing multiple studies and frontline use showing their effectiveness at different stages of the infection. Drugs we have already used safely for over 50 years.

In that respect should we not be looking seriously at other options as Delta seems to be breaking through our current Vaccine focused defences and there are all these questions around vaccine safety and effectiveness anyway? 

FINALLY, IS IT SUCH AN EMERGENCY AND IS VACCINATION THE ONLY SOLUTION?

We are clearly not in the same state of emergency that the likes of India are currently dealing with and yet they are exploring and having success with other paths of action so why can't we?

Actually, relative to India and many other foreign countries are we in an emergency at all? I must ask because a state of emergency is what is predicating the use of these experimental vaccines who's publicly stated test periods don't end until 2023 in most cases. Are we in such immediate danger that the benefits still outweigh the risks?

We did dabble in other solutions last year but the tests we ran with Ivermectin used dosages far different from either all known protocols at the time or those that are being shown to be effective now so maybe we should be revisiting those with more focus and intent than just trying to push emergency use vaccines on to our children regardless?

Nobody can be faulted for decisions made last year when so little was known and we were rushing and in fear, but now? 

SUMMARY

With so much data, our own doctors beginning to speak out, so many questions and now clearly more choices why are we still doggedly on the same path regardless of current experiences?

Indeed, many of us have seen and felt the terrible psychological, financial, and growing health issues of the current plans of action that are getting worse daily even if many of the actual figures are not readily to hand so why are we not changing course on them as well? Especially when it comes to our children?

Plus, it is surely a tragedy for the close ones when someone passes on but did anyone ask those 3 elderly terminal patients if they would want to sacrifice their children's, grandchildren's, and country's future for a potential few extra months? Because that is effectively what these blanket plans are doing as sold to us when I feel we could have far more focused, effective, and less damaging strategies to protect those same vulnerable elderly without hurting everyone else?

So, I ask MOH and the Taskforce to please stop following the international agenda so closely and focus on a more Singapore specific one. To stop running marketing and influencing programs with nice graphics like the one I attached, using Mediacorp stars in skits/informationals and having teachers on the phone to get us to vaccinate our children ...

... and start listening to local voices, especially our medical professionals, start looking at safer alternatives to deal with what is now an endemic virus with a small known vulnerable group while we are, to me at least, clearly NOT in such a state of "emergency" as the likes of India et al and we don't have to take the same risks as others might even if some overseas (such as the owners of Pfizer & Moderna / WEF etc) want us to.

So, lets please have open discussions as soon as we can before we potentially add our children to the growing global list of the vaccine injured unnecessarily because once a vaccine is administered it can't be undone.

Is that not a fair thing to ask?